My parents were New Deal Democrats, and I was brought up to revere the memory of Franklin Roosevelt and to believe that the Democrats were the party of working people.
But a strange thing happened in American politics during the past 20 years. Blue-collar workers and high school graduates have become the base of the Republican Party, while college-educated professionals are now the base of the Democratic Party.
As recently as 1992, when Bill Clinton ran against George H.W. Bush, he had a huge lead among workers earning less than $50,000 a year, and high school graduates and dropouts. The elder Bush won by a similarly large margin among workers earning $100,000 a year or more, and narrowly carried college graduates.
In contrast, a CNN poll conducted right after the 2016 conventions gives Hillary Clinton a 23 percent lead among college graduates and an 18 percent lead among voters earning more than $50,000 a year. Donald Trump is competitive among voters earning less than $50,000 a year and has a 26 percent lead among whites with high school educations or less.
This isn’t because Republicans actually represent the interests of working people. Leaders such as House Speaker Paul Ryan—and including Donald Trump—still believe that the key to prosperity is deregulation and tax cuts for rich people, policies which have been tried and failed for the past 25 years.
But Trump, in his saner moments, at least talks about the concerns of working people. Hillary Clinton at the moment seems more interested in reaching out to conservatives and anti-Trump Republicans.
My guess is that she will win in November, probably in a landslide, based on an alliance of racial and ethnic minorities, women and college-educated white professionals, plus the disgust of middle-road voters with Trump’s antics.
But if she governs in the interests of Wall Street, as her political record and donor list indicate she will, Republicans could reinvent themselves as champions of the working class.
Is Trump Wrecking Both Parties? by Thomas B. Edsall for the New York Times.
Trading Places: If the Democrats Are Now a Coastal Elite Party and the GOP Are the Populists, Trump Is Only the Beginning by Andrew O’Hehir for Alternet.
With Trump certain to lose, you can forget about a progressive Clinton by Thomas Frank for The Guardian.
A Republican Workers’ Party? by Matt Taibbi for Rolling Stone.
The Great White Hype: Nobody Is Energizing the White Working Class, Not Even Donald Trump by Zaid Jilani for The Intercept.
Rehabilitating Republicans and Down Ballot Democrats by Mike the Mad Biologist.
Tags: Bill Clinton, Democratic Party, Democrats and Republicans, Donald Trump, Election 2016, HIllary Clinton, Political realignment, Republican Party, Republicans and Democrats, Working class, Working people