Yesterday morning at this time I was confident that Hillary Clinton would win the election and that Donald Trump would lose—not because I thought Clinton was a strong candidate, but that Trump (seemingly) was such a bad one.
Throughout the primary and general election campaigns, I expected Trump to self-destruct and, in the closing weeks of the campaign, I thought he did.
My great fear was that the Clinton administration would be a failure and that, four years from now, a sane Donald Trump would emerge—someone who stood for the same things that Trump stands for, but who had a minimum of dignity, courtesy, self-control and background knowledge, someone equivalent to Nigel Farage, Marine Le Pen or Vladimir Putin.
But I was wrong. Despite all his self-destructive behavior, the real Trump won. Why?
Trump was a candidate of change, and Clinton was the candidate of the status quo. More people wanted change, even risky change, than wanted the status quo.
Trump appealed to hate, and Clinton appealed to fear. Hate is a more empowering emotion than fear.
And the number of votes lost through voter suppression may have been more than the narrow margin of victory in the popular vote, just like 16 years ago.
Below are links to some good analyses of the campaign. I may add more links throughout the day.
On Trump’s Performance by Ian Welsh.
Donald Trump is moving to the White House and liberals put him there by Thomas Frank for The Guardian.
Why the White Working Class Rebelled: Neoliberalism Is Killing Them (Literally) by Juan Cole for Informed Comment.
US Election 2016: Trump Victory in Maps by the BBC.