GOP didn’t gain votes, but Democrats lost many


Hillary Clinton was not beaten by an upsurge in votes for Donald Trump.  She was beaten because she lost votes, not because Trump gained votes.

I don’t believe the American public is satisfied with either the Democrats or the Republicans.  That’s why we’ve been alternating Democrats and Republicans in power for the past 30 or 40 years.

We keep giving one party, then the other, an opportunity to prove its leaders can achieve peace and prosperity and, again and again, they fail the test.

As these charts indicate, Hillary Clinton’s loss in the Presidential election was caused by voters turning away from her, not the popularity of Donald Trump.   The charts below show that in every demographic category except “people of color,” the “other / no vote” voters outnumbered Democrats or Republicans.   And even support by “people of color” for Democrats dropped sharply.

Election 2016byrace1-1




In comparing the charts above and below, keep in mind the difference between percentages of the vote and total number of votes, and the differences between the percentage of a group’s voters versus the group’s total population.


In a close election, minor things can tip the balance.   But the question for the Clinton campaign is why the falloff in support from groups that historically have supported Democratic candidates—including women.


The one thing the charts don’t show is how much the falling off in Democratic support is due to voter suppression.   For what it’s worth, I think voter suppression can decide a close election, but it doesn’t explain the big drop in votes for Hillary Clinton and the Democrats compared to 2012.   She lost ground—in some cases a little, in some a lot—among every demographic group.


2016 was the apathy election by Carl Bejier.

The myth of the reactionary white working class by Eric London for the World Socialist Web Site.

The 114,000 votes that cost Hillary Clinton the election by Patrick Scott for The Telegraph.


Charts & maps via WSWS, Carl Bejier, Kevin Drum, Ian Welsh.


Note:   I made many minor revisions yesterday and today for the sake of clarity [11/15/2016]

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One Response to “GOP didn’t gain votes, but Democrats lost many”

  1. Lee Ingram (@LeeIngram56) Says:

    The typical stats do not look deep enough into why the democratic party (which I belong to) lost ground in this election. The popular vote provides some clues. The less populated areas provide large amounts of food and material support to the most populated cities in the USA and all over the world. Many of these populated cities do well enough just to sustain city bureaucracy, and infrastructure. Most of these cities are long on high tech jobs and finance, but short in life producing staples, such as food/material. All folks from all political groups that were not part of these large population areas felt left behind. This is why my party lost this election. The democratic message over the years has been to take from the rich and give to the poor. This Robin Hood approach has not been successful, then or now (despite folklore that it did). This is not a racial, gender, or ethnic problem, but rather a class problem. Food and materials will always be needed, and our democratic party needs to include the less populous areas in any future movement to gain back the confidence of the democratic base.


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