Trump: the art of the deal-breaker

As a business tycoon, Donald Trump was noted for breaking contracts and not paying bills.  He relied on his wealth and his lawyers to deter less-wealthy contractors and creditors from collecting what they were owed.

In renouncing the nuclear arms deal with Iran, he is trying to treat a small nation the way he once treated small businesses.   He evidently thinks he can do this without any bad consequences to the United States.  If so, he is wrong.

President Trump

The reason the Iranian government was willing to negotiate limitations to its nuclear program was that Iran faced economic sanctions by the United Nationals Security Council, which represents all the great powers, not just the United States, which has been waging economic warfare against Iran since the present regime came to power in 1979.

The nuclear agreement was negotiated with six countries, including Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China, not the United States alone.   Renunciation by the U.S. government isn’t binding on any of the others.

It’s highly unlikely that Britain, France and Germany would agree to resume economic warfare against Iran, especially since President Trump did not consult them in advance.

It is certain that Russia and China will not, since the U.S. government, unlike when the UN Security Council imposed sanctions against Iran in 2006, now treats these two countries as adversaries.   So what Trump has done is to force Iran into alliance with Russia and China.

No objective observer doubts that Iran has kept its side of the agreement.  The problem from the standpoint of the United States is that the agreement has not affected Iran’s struggle with Saudi Arabia and Israel for  geopolitical power in the Middle East.

But what has made Iran so powerful?   U.S. military interventions are what has empowered Iran.

In 2001, Iran, which is ruled by Shiite Muslim clerics, was hemmed in by two hostile powers—the Taliban in Afghanistan to the east and Saddam Hussein’s Iraq to the west.

The U.S. overthrew the Taliban, who were Sunni Muslims, with the aid of Shiite Muslims friendly to Iran.  The U.S. overthrew Saddam Hussein, another Sunni Muslim, and empowered the Shiite majority in Iraq.

Then the U.S. government-funded Sunni Muslim rebels against the Assad regime in Syria.   Bashir al-Assad, a member of the minority Alawite sect, called on Iran for help and got it.   Presumably he wouldn’t have wanted Iranian fighters in his country if his government hadn’t been in danger..

Another consequence of Trump’s decision is that North Korea will keep its nuclear weapons for at least a generation.   Why would Kim Jong Un negotiate over nuclear weapons with a government that has demonstrated it does not keep agreements?

But maybe the North and South Korean governments, out of fear of Trump’s recklessness, will negotiate a peace agreement between themselves.

Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani had said Iran will stick to the agreement.  He no doubt hopes to keep the good will of Britain, France and Germany.

Then the question would be whether the U.S. government wants to alienate its allies by exerting economic pressure on British, French and German firms that trade with Iran.

President Rouhani

A worse case would be that the Iranian government would decide it has nothing to lose by starting a nuclear weapons development program.

That would be a bad thing, but not a reason for the United States to go to war.  If we can co-exist with a nuclear-armed Russia, China, India, Pakistan and North Korea, not to mention Israel, we can live with a nuclear-armed Iran.

The worst would be for the United States to attempt to bring about “regime change” in Iran, as advocated by National Security Adviser John Bolton.

Such an attempt might involve arming rebels, such as the MEK terrorists, or it might involve a direct attack on Iran, with the risk of retaliation by Iran’s ally, Russia.

Spreading death and destruction through the world, causing suffering to people who have never harmed or threatened us Americans, is going to come back upon this country someday.

All the people suffering under dictatorships imposed by the United States, all the people suffering from economic warfare waged by the United States, all the people whose countries have been invaded by the United States—someday they will combine to pay us Americans back for what our government has done.

LINKS

The art of breaking a deal by Pepe Escobar for Asia Times.

Trump Violates the Iran Nuclear Deal—Ignoring the U.S. and Israeli Generals Who Support It by Mehdi Hasan for The Intercept.

America Loses Big As Trump Jettisons the Nuclear Deal by John Allen Gay for The American Conservative.

We Are Being Lied to About Another Middle Eastern Country by Yet Another US President by Caitlin Johnstone.

Follow the Money: Three Billionaires Prepared the Way for Trump’s Iran Deal Withdrawal by Ed Clifton for LobeLog.

That Time John Bolton Promised Regime Change in Iran Before 2019 by Caitlin Johnstone.  [Added 5/10/2018]

The Iran Nuclear Deal Isn’t Just a Good Idea—It’s the Law by Thomas Knapp for Counterpunch.  [Added 5/10/2018]

 

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One Response to “Trump: the art of the deal-breaker”

  1. djgarcia94 Says:

    It always baffled me how the idea he’d “run the country like he ran his businesses” was used as a campaign selling point. To me that alone was enough to not support him, and we all know there are many more reasons.

    Like

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