For background, click on Chris Hadfield kottke.org.
Archive for April, 2022
Astronaut Chris Hadfield’s Space Oddity song
April 30, 2022Ukraine war collateral damage and food prices
April 28, 2022I’m stocking up on nonperishable food and other supplies in order to be prepared for scarcity this fall.
Both the fighting war and the sanctions war over Ukraine are disrupting world food supplies, and I think it can only get worse. Ukraine and Russia are important exporters of food, and also of diesel fuel, which is important in making fertilizer.
Food prices are already going up. Reasons for this include drought and floods in food-producing regions, disruption of supply chains due to the coronavirus pandemic and the power of monopoly agribusiness.
What this means is that there is no buffer to escape the disruption caused by war.
Maybe I’m wrong, but I have little to lose by being prepared. It is better to do too much than to learn the hard way I’ve done too little.
I also expect the war’s collateral damage to affect food prices, but there’s little I can do personally about that.
Russians will be affected by rising food and fuel prices, but both the USA and Russia have enough reserves and resources to avoid actual starvation. The worst impact will be on poor small nations that depend in food imports.
Life and death in Ukraine under Nazi rule
April 26, 2022HARVEST OF DESPAIR: Life and Death in Ukraine Under Nazi Rule by Karel C. Berkhoff (2004)
Ukraine was the scene of two of the most murderous episodes of 20th century history.
The first was the Holodomor, which was the systematic starvation of Ukrainian and other peasants by Joseph Stalin in 1929-1933 as part of the drive to collectivize agriculture, combined with the suppression of Ukrainian culture. Nobody knows for sure how many people died as a result, but the consensus is that they numbered more than 3 million. Robert Conquest’s Harvest of Sorrow documents this event in its full horror.
The second was the Nazi occupation of Ukraine in 1941-1944. The Nazis’ immediate objective in Ukraine was to use it as a breadbasket to feed the German army and people. Its long-range objective was to depopulate Ukraine, by means of starvation and killing, so as to open it up for German pioneer settlers, with only a remnant of the Ukrainian people left to serve as slaves of the occupiers.
That story is told in Karel C. Berkhoff’s Harvest of Despair, a history of Reichskommissariat Ukraine, the short-lived colony the Nazis set up on Ukrainian soil.
Berkhoff’s best estimate is that one million civilians and prisoners of war were deliberately killed or starved to death by the Nazi occupiers of Ukraine.
The dead mainly included (1) Jews and Roma (gypsies), (2) prisoners of war, (3) urban populations the Nazis deemed useless and (4) people killed during the German retreat in 1944 as part of a scorched earth policy.
Of course these killings are a small part of what would have happened if Nazi rule had become permanent.
I had a notion that this book would provide an explanation of present-day Ukrainians’ admiration for the Nazi-like Stepan Bandera. My idea was that Ukrainians’ hatred for Russians arose during the Holodomor and was the reason for their admiration for Bandera, a nationalist who thought he could use the Nazis to create an independent Ukrainian state.
Berkhoff’s book provides no support whatsoever for my notion. He said the basic attitudes of Ukrainians, despite their great suffering, were unchanged during the period he wrote about.
Ukrainians were so demoralized by Soviet rule that most of them were incapable of organized resistance. Stalin’s rule had created a culture of mistrust and denunciation. Anybody could denounce anybody else for what they allegedly said or did. You could not trust anyone outside your immediate family or your closest friends. This universal suspicion continued under Nazi rule.
Ukrainians during this period did not hate Russians, but regarded them as fellow victims of Soviets and Nazis, Berkhoff wrote. When they spoke of “our people,” they meant both Ukrainians and Russians.
Feynman’s ode to the wonder of life
April 24, 2022The following words are from an address to the National Academy of Sciences in 1955. Get details from The Marginalian.
[UNTITLED ODE TO THE WONDER OF LIFE]
by Richard Feynman
I stand at the seashore, alone, and start to think. There are the rushing waves… mountains of molecules, each stupidly minding its own business… trillions apart… yet forming white surf in unison.
Ages on ages… before any eyes could see… year after year… thunderously pounding the shore as now. For whom, for what?… on a dead planet, with no life to entertain.
Never at rest… tortured by energy… wasted prodigiously by the sun… poured into space. A mite makes the sea roar.
Deep in the sea, all molecules repeat the patterns of one another till complex new ones are formed. They make others like themselves… and a new dance starts.
Growing in size and complexity… living things, masses of atoms, DNA, protein… dancing a pattern ever more intricate.
Out of the cradle onto the dry land… here it is standing… atoms with consciousness… matter with curiosity.
Stands at the sea… wonders at wondering… I… a universe of atoms… an atom in the universe.
Navalny in prison, but his work goes on
April 21, 2022
Alexei Navalny and his Anti-Corruption Foundation (FBK) team are among the best investigative reporters of our time.
They have documented the extreme corruption of Russian politicians and oligarchs, which goes beyond anything I would have imagined. The one on Vladimir Putin’s billion-dollar palace, financed through graft, is just one example.
It is no wonder that Putin fears Navalny, and has railroaded him into prison on trumped-up charges.
Russians are among the poorest people in Europe, the Russian government is among the most corrupt, and the gap between rich and poor is one of the highest of any advanced nation.
There is nothing more potentially explosive that showing the struggling Russian common people the extreme wealth and luxury in which their rulers live.
Of course rankings change year-by-year, and Ukraine also has extremes of poverty, corruption and inequality. The point is that such conditions may become intolerable when Russians are asked to make more sacrifices for the sake of winning a war of choice led by their government.
Navalny started the FBK in 2011. In 2013, he was indicted and convicted of embezzlement from his own foundation and given a suspended sentence. Most human rights organizations regard the changes as bogus.
In 2020, he was poisoned and received treatment in Germany. The FBK produced a documentary showing the Russian government was behind the poisoning. He returned to Russia in January, 2021, and was arrested for parole violation. He was tried in March on additional charges of embezzlement and sentenced to nine years in prison. He is appealing that sentence.
Meanwhile the FBK had been shut down and some of its workers arrested on charges of extremism. But it is continuing to produce videos, most of them with English subtitles, evidently from outside Russia. The independent Meduza news service has relocated to Latvia and The Moscow Times to the Netherlands.
I worked on newspapers for 24 years, and I especially enjoy FBK videos as great examples of investigative reporting—the ingenuity with which the investigators track down the facts, their professionalism in document the facts, and the clarity and wit with which they present the facts.
Noam Chomsky on moral equivalence
April 19, 2022
Noam Chomsky in an interview condemned the Russian attack on Ukraine. He said it is not only morally wrong, but a violation of international law.
He also said that Russia has not done anything that the USA has not done. The invasion of Iraq was no less wrong than the invasion of Ukraine. The bombing of Fallujah caused at least as much death and suffering as the bombing of Mariupol’.
Neither the Russia nor the USA accepts the jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court. In 1984, the court condemned the United States for mining the harbors of Nicaragua as part of its covert war against that country, the U.S. government shrugged off that decision.
In 2002, the U.S. Congress passed a law authorizing the U.S. government to take military again to prevent any American or allied citizen from being tried as a war criminal. President Biden has no standing to call for President Putin to be tried for violating international law the USA does not respect.
I believe that many consider it out of bounds for me, or for Prof. Chomsky, to weigh the crimes of the U.S. government in the same balance as the crimes of other governments. This is “moral equivalence” or “whataboutism.” Instead you’re supposed to be silent about U.S. crimes unless you have first researched and condemned every other wrong that may have been worse.
It can be argued that a murderer who kills one person is less of a murderer who kills ten people, but the first is a murderer just the same. And the fact that one murderer gets away with their crime does not generate an entitlement to commit murder.
None of this is a justification for the invasion of Ukraine. The ordinary people of Ukraine did not invade Iraq and Afghanistan. They are not responsible for the persecution of Julian Assange. They do not deserve to be killed, maimed and terrorized because of what the U.S. government has done.
The U.S. government has an obligation to provide the Ukrainians with the means to defend themselves, Chomsky said. But he said it also has a duty to try to bring both sides to the negotiating table before Ukraine is completely ruined. He’s right.
LINKS
Noam Chomsky, Jeremy Scahill on the Russia-Ukraine War, an interview for The Intercept.
Noam Chomsky on How To Prevent World War III, an interview for Current Affairs. [Added 04/20/2022]
Ukraine is part of a broader three-way Cold War
April 15, 2022The war in Ukraine is not just between Ukraine and Russia. It is part of a larger three-way struggle between three rival imperialisms—the established imperialism of the USA and the rising imperialisms of China and Russia..
The struggle is not exclusively or even mainly a military struggle. It is also a diplomatic and propaganda struggle. But it is mainly an economic struggle.
The United States is the world’s most extensive military power and the world’s leading financial power. Its aim is to keep on being the world’s only superpower—militarily, politically and financially. Its means is threats of military intervention and financial sanctions.

Source: The Diplomat. Click to enlarge.
The People’s Republic of China is the world’s leading manufacturer and exporter. Its aim is to dominate its immediate region politically and militarily and to become the world’s leading power economically. The means is investing in physical infrastructure and human capital, and winning friends by offering economic benefits. Its master plan is the Belts and Roads initiative, a system of infrastructure construction projects intended to weave together the economies of interior Eurasia.
Russia is less powerful than the USA or China, but it is an important producer of food, fuel and vital raw materials. Its aim is to be recognized as a great power and to dominate its immediate region politically and militarily
The United States has a worldwide network of military bases and alliances, which gives it the power to engage in military and covert actions on every continent. It dominates the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and other international institutions and its banks have a chokehold on the world financial economy.
The basis of that power is the supremacy of the U.S. dollar as the world’s medium for doing business, and the replacement of gold by U.S. Treasury bonds as a store of value.
This enables the U.S. to finance its endless wars, to shrug off trade deficits and to impose crippling sanctions on nations that defy it. But American leaders have foolishly allowed the source of its financial power, its strength as a manufacturing and exporting country, to fade away.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was an attack on the U.S.-dominated NATO alliance. Its aim is to keep Ukraine out of NATO, to bar nuclear missile systems from Poland and Rumania and to roll back western NATO troops to their 1997 positions.
The U.S. aim is to get Russia bogged down in a long quagmire war, while meanwhile trying to wreck the Russian economy through economic sanctions—that is, seizing Russian financial assets held in the U.S. allied countries, cutting Russia off from the dollar-based world financial system and blocking Russian imports and exports as much as possible.
With the aid of China, Russia is finding ways to engage in world trade using the ruble and other non-dollar currencies, thus helping to undermine U.S. financial power.
Then again, with sanctions, the U.S. is already undermining itself. It is teaching nations they need to figure out how to survive economically without ties to the United States or the dollar-based system.
This economic war is a real war. People will suffer as a result of it. Some die. Some European nations depend on Russian gas. Many nations depend on Russia for food and fertilizer exports. Food and fuel prices are already rising as a result of the war and are expected to rise further.
The most likely result of the conflict is a worldwide economic depression. The worst possible result is nuclear war. I don’t see any possible outcome that is of net benefit to the people of any of the three countries.
Russia soon will be able to cut off Europe’s gas
April 14, 2022Why is President Biden widening the economic war against Russia to include China? Why is he threatening to impose economic sanctions on countries who refuse to sanction Russia? Why is he raising the. stakes?
It may be because the United States is in a struggle for world power against not only Russia, but China, and that time is not on the side of the USA.
China’s Belt and Roads Initiative, also known as the New Silk Roads, is intended to bind together Russia, Iran and other nations in the interior of Eurasia by means of roads, railroads and oil and gas pipelines.
The result, if the Chinese can bring it off, would be a new entity that would be invulnerable to U.S. sea and power and that would be detached from the dollar-based world economy.
But that entity does not exist yet. Specifically, there is a lack of sufficient gas pipelines to enable Russia to switch over the gas it is now selling to Europe and sell it to China instead.

Source: Seeking Alpha. (2020)

Source: S&P Global Commodity Insights (2019) Click to enlarge.

Source: Wood Mackenzie (2019) Click to enlarge.
Russia is rushing to build new pipelines that will connect its western and eastern Siberian gas fields and free it from the need to sell to European markets. They’re scheduled to be completed in a few years, and then Russia will be in a position to cut off gas supplies to Europe.
Pepe Escobar noted:
An absolutely key issue for Russia is how to make the transition to China as its key gas customer. It’s all about the Power of Siberia 2, a new 2600-km pipeline originating in the Russian Bovanenkovo and Kharasavey gas fields in Yamal, in northwest Siberia – which will reach full capacity only in 2024. And, first, the interconnector through Mongolia must be built – “we need 3 years to build this pipeline” – so everything will be in place only around 2025.
On the Yamal pipeline, “most of the gas goes to Asia. If the Europeans don’t buy anymore we can redirect.” And then there’s the Arctic LNG 2 project – which is even larger than Yamal: “the first phase should be finished soon, it’s 80 percent ready.” An extra problem may be posed by the Russian “Unfriendlies” in Asia: Japan and South Korea. LNG infrastructure produced in Russia still depends on foreign technologies.
It makes no economic sense for European nations, including Ukraine, to cut themselves off from Russian gas. The U.S. plan is to substitute liquified natural gas (LNG) from the USA. Ultimately the best solution would be to substitute renewable energy for gas heating. But the physical infrastructure to do these things is not in place.
In fact, the ongoing mutually destructive economic warfare makes no sense for anyone, especially for the USA. We the American people get no benefit from economic warfare against other nations. We need to be rebuilding our own economy and preparing for the coming bad years.
LINKS
Sit back and watch Europe commit suicide by Pepe Escobar for The Cradle.
Gazprom Is Setting Up for Eurasian Gas Market Dominance by Zoltan Ban for Seeking Alpha (2020).
Russia is building a massive 50 billion cubic meter gas pipeline to China by Ameya Paleja for Interesting Engineering.
Russia said it’s pushing ahead with building a massive natural-gas pipeline to China by Grace Dean for Business Insider.
Russia, China agree on 30-year gas deal via new pipeline, to settle in euros, by Chen Aixhu for Reuters.
Book note: A journey around Russia
April 13, 2022THE BORDER: A JOURNEY AROUND RUSSIA through North Korea, China, Mongolia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Ukraine, Belarus, Lithuania, Poland, Latvia, Estonia, Finland, Norway and the Northeast Passage by Erika Fatland (2017) translated from the Norwegian by Kari Dickson (2020)
Russia is the largest country in the world, and has the largest border. The circumference of Russia is half again as large as the circumference of the globe itself.
A young Norwegian woman named Erika Fatland circumnavigated Russia, which is no small feat, and wrote this book about it.
She visited every country on Russia’s southern and western borders. She saw the sights in each country, talked to some of the locals and brushed up on the history of its relations with Russia.
Every one except Norway bore the scars of having been attacked or occupied by Russia at some point in its history, most of them in the 20th century.
The implication is that there is something about Russians that makes them a standing threat to their neighbors, no matter whether they are ruled by Tzars, Communists or Vladimir Putin.
I don’t agree with this framing. Russia itself has been attacked and invaded many times. And, like the 18th century conservative Edmund Burke, I know not the method of drawing up an indictment against a whole people.
Even so, I found the book worth reading. I learned interesting things from it. I thank my friend Judith Judson for recommending it.
It is too big to summarize. I’ll hit some high points.
Fatland’s first stop was North Korea, whose existence is a reminder that totalitarianism is real. People there have less freedom than an American or Briton in prison, yet they think they are free. They are poor and backward, yet they think they live in the most advanced nation in the world.
Or so they said. But maybe the system of surveillance is so complete that many or most North Koreans inwardly have doubts, but don’t dare to say so. The result is the same.
Back in the 1950s, many of us liberals feared that totalitarian governments could come to dominate the world and establish a complete system of thought control. North Korea shows that danger wasn’t altogether imaginary.
I found Fatland’s account of Mongolia was the most interesting section of the book. Mongolia adopted Tibetan Buddhism in 1586 and their spiritual leaders came from Tibet. But the prediction is the next Mongolian lama will be incarnated in Mongolia. Fatland heard a Mongolian throat singer, who’d mastered the art of singing in two tones.
She interviewed reindeer herders in Tuva, the remotest part of this remote country. She talked to “ninja miners,” individuals who prospect for gold and other minerals in this mineral-rich country.
Kazakhstan is a prime example of Soviet and Russian imperialism. Along with the other Central Asian nations, its government is a continuation of the Soviet government and it is under the thumb of Russia. An uprising a few months ago was quashed with the help of Russian troops.
Vladimir Putin is not a madman
April 11, 2022I never thought Vladimir Putin would order a full-scale invasion of Ukraine
My reasoning was that it was not in Putin’s or Russia’s interest to take responsibility for a country that, by most accounts, was even poorer than Russia itself and almost as corrupt. Nor did it make sense for Russia to risk getting bogged down in a long quagmire war as it did in Afghanistan.
The president of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky, had elected as a peace candidate with more than 70 percent of the vote, so there seemed like a possibility of negotiating the status of the Donbas secessionists and other issues.
I thought Putin would take some limited action that would demonstrate Ukraine’s vulnerability and NATO’s lack of unity.
As a result of the invasion, members of NATO are more united against Russia than ever. Sweden and Finland have abandoned their neutrality and may formally join NATO. Countries not willing to fight Russia with troops are waging economic warfare against Russia.
So why did he do it? Was he crazy?
One of my rules of thumb is that when someone who seems highly intelligent does something that makes no sense to me, that person may have reasons that I do not understand.
I believe Putin has made this high-stakes gamble because he believes the actual existence of Russia is at risk. I believe he further believes that the danger is growing and he had to act before time runs out.
He has been saying for years that the goal of the U.S.-led alliance is to put itself in a position to be able to successfully attack Russia. He may be mistaken, but he has reason to think so.
Notice that the ultimatum he issued last year is not limited to Ukraine. It contains for main demands (1) Ukraine neutrality, (2) autonomy of Donetz and Luhansk, (3) no missiles in Poland or Rumania and (4) NATO troops back to 1991 limits.
Notice also that Russia has not used its full military might in invading Ukraine. That means Putin may be holding back troops to enforce the rest of his ultimatum.
∞∞∞
When Russia withdrew its troops from East Germany and other satellite countries in Eastern Europe in 1989, Secretary of State James Baker allegedly promised Mikhail Gorbachev that NATO troops would not move “one inch” to the east. There’s argument as to what he really said. But many people, myself included, hoped for a new era when the USA and Russia were at peace with each other.
In 1999, NATO expanded. Putin protested and was ignored. In 2004, NATO expanded again. Putin protested and was ignored.
In 2008, NATO announced an intention to bring Ukraine and Georgia into NATO. Putin said that was a red line that Russia would not tolerate.
I can understand why. If you look at a map of Europe showing the peak of German conquests during World War Two, and compare it with a map of NATO with Ukraine and Georgia, you will see they are almost the same.
In 2014, a pro-American faction seized power in Ukraine. Since then, Ukraine has been a NATO member in all but name.
A missile defense system is being placed in Poland and Romania, which could be made capable of launching nuclear missiles. The U.S. meanwhile has exited the Anti-Ballistic Missile agreement and the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces agreement.
Soon the United States will have duplicated Russia’s hypersonic missile, which means that a nuclear warhead launched from Poland or Rumania could hit Moscow in a few minutes.
The search for truth in the Ukraine war
April 9, 2022I think the world is at a major historical turning point. China and Russia, with their allies and vassals, have begun an attack on a system of economic and military power dominated by the United States, which probably will succeed. The Russian attack on Ukraine is a ramping up to that larger conflict.
That is why I am so obsessively focused on the war in Ukraine. Trying to understand the conflict allows me to overcome my feeling of helplessness in the face of the coming catastrophe.
This video interview of Scott Ritter from last Wednesday is a good summary of the situation in Ukraine, which is different from the propaganda version in most U.S. newspapers and broadcast networks. The meat of the interview begins at the seven-minute mark. You don’t have to watch the whole thing to get something out of it.
I think that Scott Ritter, Michael Hudson and the Naked Capitalism bloggers have the best handle on what’s going on. Both Ritter and Hudson are giving video interviews to virtually anybody who will talk to them, and these interviews should be easy to find.
Of course what they (and I) say is based on uncertain and incomplete knowledge. The verdict of history may be different from what I (or you) think now. But time spent trying to learn and understand is not time wasted.
LINKS
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in Perspective by Scott Ritter for Energy Intelligence.
The American Empire Self-Destructs by Michael Hudson.
Craig Murray on inconvenient truths
April 7, 2022Craig Murray, a former British ambassador, who has paid a price in his own life for inconvenient truth-telling, published a list of true statements about Russia, Ukraine and the West.
a) The Russian invasion of Ukraine is illegal: Putin is a war criminal
b) The US led invasion of Iraq was illegal: Blair and Bush are war criminalsa) Russian troops are looting, raping and shelling civilian areas
b) Ukraine has Nazis entrenched in the military and in government and commits atrocities against Russiansa) Zelensky is an excellent war leader
b) Zelensky is corrupt and an oligarch puppeta) Russian subjugation of Chechnya was brutal and a disproportionate response to an independence movement
b) Russian intervention in Syria saved the Middle East from an ISIS controlled jihadist statea) Russia is extremely corrupt with a very poor human rights record
b) Western security service narratives such as “Russiagate” and “Skripals” are highly suspect, politically motivated and unevidenced.a) NATO expansion is unnecessary, threatening to Russia and benefits nobody but the military industrial complex
b) The Russian military industrial complex is equally powerful in its own polity as is Russian nationalism
I agree with all these statements. I don’t question your good faith if you happen to disagree with any of them or all of them. I just think it is highly unlikely, with nations as with individuals, that one side is completely good and the other completely bad. It is hard to stand aside from propaganda and judge for yourself.
More from Murray:
One final thought on the tone of the coverage of the war both of the media and of supporters of the official western line on social media. Though affecting to be sickened by the atrocities of war, their tone is not of sorrow or devastation, it is triumphalist and jubilant. The amount of war porn and glorying in war is worrying. The mood of the British nation is atavistic. Russians living here are forced on a daily basis to declare antagonism to their own people and homeland.
I have had great difficulty in writing this piece – I have worked on it some three weeks, and the reason is a deep sadness which this unnecessary war has caused me. In the course of my typing any paragraph, somebody has probably been killed or seriously injured in Ukraine, of whatever background. They had a mother and others who loved them. There is no triumph in violent death.
[Afterthought 04/09/2022]. On thinking things over, I have some reservations about some of the things on Murray’s list. But I agree with the spirit of what he wrote. The fact that one side in a conflict may be bad does not make the other side good.
LINK
Striving to Make Sense of the War in Ukraine by Craig Murray. A long post, but worth reading the whole way through.
What is Russian exceptionalism?
April 6, 2022LOST KINGDOM: The Quest for Empire and the Making of the Russian Nation from 1470 to the Present by Serhii Plokhy (2017)
Serhii Plokhy is professor of Ukrainian history and director of the Ukrainian Research Institute at Harvard University. His book, Lost Kingdom, is about Russian exceptionalism—that is, Russia’s historic claim to lead and rule the eastern Slavic peoples and the pushback from Ukrainians and Belarusians.
It is an important and complicated story—full of ironies, zigzags and contradictions, and historical turning points that could have turned out differently from what they did. It provides interesting background to the current war in Ukraine, although I do not think it is the final word on that topic.
Russia, Ukraine and Belarus all trace their origins to the culture Kievan Rus’ and the conversion of Prince Vladimir of Kiev to Christianity in 987. The Kievan Rus’ lands stretched from the Black Sea to the Gulf of Finland and were regarded as a unity. But most of them were overrun by the Mongol-Tatar Golden Horde in 1237-1239.
The book’s story begins when Prince Ivan III of Muscovy, a vassal of the Golden Horde, married Sophia Palaiologos, a princess of the Byzantine Empire, which had fallen to the Ottoman Turks in 1453.
Ivan claimed his marriage made Muscovy “the Third Rome,” the successor of the Byzantine and Roman empires. This was bold talk for the ruler of a relatively small principality.
Muscovy expanded, step by step, although with a lot of back and forth struggle. Its rulers adopted the title of Tsar, which is Russian for Caesar. Muscovy conquered the independent Republic of Novgorod and warred against Tartars, Ottomans and the great and powerful Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth.
On the vast Eurasian plain, there were few obstacles to conquest, but also few barriers against invasion. A Polish army occupied Moscow in 1610-1612 and a Swedish army occupied Ukraine in 1706. Later on a French army reached Moscow in 1812, and German armies occupied Ukraine in 1918 and 1941. It’s easy to understand why questions of allegiance and national unity were life-and-death issue.
Plokhy wrote that from earliest days, there was a recognized difference between the Great Russians, Little Russians (Ukrainians) and White Russians (Belarusians). I recall that the Tsars claimed to be rulers of “all the Russias”—implying that there was more than one.
One turning point was the reign of Catherine the Great (1762-1796). She was of German origin, and came to the throne after the murder of his husband, so her legitimacy was questionable. Although she toyed with the ideas of the European Enlightenment, she doubled down on promoting Great Russian national identity and Eastern Orthodox religion.
She joined the rulers of Austria and Prussia in partitioning Russia’s old enemy, Poland. Russia got more than half of Poland, including its capital, Warsaw.
In the ensuring years, the Polish nobility, remembering their former power and greatness, resisted Russian rule as best they could, while the Russian government tried to Russianize the Poles.
The Russian government began to look on Ukrainian language and culture in a new way, as a possible source of Polish-like nationalism. This wasn’t altogether wrong.
As with other subjugated and divided peoples in 19th century Europe, Ukrainian intellectuals began to study their cultural and national roots and think about independence and unification. Academic studies of linguistics and ethnography in one generation became nationalistic intellectual weapons in later decades. I think this was the real origin of Ukrainian and Belarusian nationalism.