Forget the issues: It’s all about Trump!

Three to six months ago, the conventional wisdom was that the Democratic Party was headed for disaster in the coming elections. The reason given was President Biden’s failure to cope with inflation and other serious national problems.

Now the conventional wisdom is that the Democrats have an even chance or better of holding on to their majority. Why? The change is due to the focus on Donald Trump.

Overall, many political observers and Democratic leaders think Trump-backed candidates in the Republican primaries are wackos that will be easy to defeat.

Operating on this theory, Democrats reportedly donated $53 million to Trump-backed candidates.

Here is the Washington Post’s rundown how the Democrat-backed pro-Trump candidates fared and the amounts the Democrats contributed.

WON.  Illinois Governor.  $34.5 million spent.

LOST.  Colorado U.S. Senate. $4 million spent.

LOST.  Nevada Governor.  $3.9 million spent.

WON.  New Hampshire U.S. Senate.  $3.2 million spent.

LOST.  Michigan Governor. $2 million spent.

WON.  Maryland Governor. $1.7 million spent.

LOST.  Colorado Governor.  $1.5 million spent

WON.  Pennsylvania Governor $1.2 million spent.

WON. Michigan 3rd District, U.S. House. $425,000 spent.

LOST.  Virginia 2nd District, U.S. House.  $300,000 spent.

LOST.  California 22nd District, U.S. House.  $200,000 spent.

LOST.  Colorado 8th District, U.S. House.  $250,000 spent.

WON.  New Hampshire 2nd District, U.S. House.  $100,000 spent.

Total $53,275,000.

I don’t want to overstate the significance of this.  Democrat money wasn’t necessarily the deciding factor in any of these races.  

And Trump endorsed nearly 200 candidates in all.  BBC News reported 92 percent of them won.

What the contributions reflect is that Democrats think that focusing on Trump is a winning victory strategy.

Of course this strategy could backfire.  The Clinton campaign in 2016 tried to “elevate” Trump, figuring that he would be easiest to defeat in the general election.  It didn’t work out the way they thought it would.

LINKS

Unease about Trump’s legal woes spread through GOP by Niall Strange for The Hill.

US mid-terms 2022: Tracking Trump’s “extraordinary” endorsement spree by Holly Honderich and Robin Levinson-King for BBC News.

Democrats finance pro-Trumpers in GOP primaries

Democratic ads boosted extremists in Republican primaries.  Was that wise? by Lauren Gambino for The Guardian.

Democrats spent tens of millions of dollars amplifying far-right candidates by Annie Linskey for The Washington Post.

Democrats meddling in GOP primaries pays off in 6 of 13 races by Josh Kraushaar for Axios.

Conservative Illinois state senator Darren Bailey wins GOP primary for Governor by Dave McKinney for National Public Radio.

Bolduc wins New Hampshire’s GOP Senate primary by Will Weissert and Holly Ramer for the Associated Press.

Trump-endorsed Candidate Dan Cox Pipes Moderate in Republican Primary for Maryland Governor’s Race by Siladitya Ray for Forbes magazine.

Pa. primary 2022: Doug Mastriano wins GOP nomination for governor by Angela Couloumbis and Stephen Caruso for Spotlight Pa.

A look back at 2020

A Perfect Storm for Democrats in 2022, an interview of Thomas Ferguson for theAnalysis news.  (Part 1)

In 2020, Elites Bailed on Trump, Not on Republican Party, an interview of Thomas Ferguson for theAnalysis news (Part 2)

Fossil Fuel and Private Equity Love Trumpan interview of Thomas Ferguson for theAnalysis news (Part 3)

In 2020, Trump Propped Up His Rural Vote With Massive Subsidies to Agribusiness, an interview of Thomas Ferguson for theAnalysis news (Part 4)

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One Response to “Forget the issues: It’s all about Trump!”

  1. Fred (Au Natural) Says:

    In 2016 few people took Trump seriously. His campaign did not show him as being as mad as he actually is. It was a time when we were vulnerable to a hero on horseback.

    Hillary’s campaign was run very poorly. Lot’s of gaffes and lots of strategic blunders, mainly because she was overconfident. She also came off as smug and elitist, never a good thing in US politics. And she didn’t want to take Bill’s advice, to do her own campaign. Bad mistake because hubby is a political genius.

    Now we see Trump as the clear and present danger he is. Or at least many of us. He has a quasi-religious cult built up around him.

    Like

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