Three to six months ago, the conventional wisdom was that the Democratic Party was headed for disaster in the coming elections. The reason given was President Biden’s failure to cope with inflation and other serious national problems.
Now the conventional wisdom is that the Democrats have an even chance or better of holding on to their majority. Why? The change is due to the focus on Donald Trump.
Overall, many political observers and Democratic leaders think Trump-backed candidates in the Republican primaries are wackos that will be easy to defeat.
Operating on this theory, Democrats reportedly donated $53 million to Trump-backed candidates.
Here is the Washington Post’s rundown how the Democrat-backed pro-Trump candidates fared and the amounts the Democrats contributed.
WON. Illinois Governor. $34.5 million spent.
LOST. Colorado U.S. Senate. $4 million spent.
LOST. Nevada Governor. $3.9 million spent.
WON. New Hampshire U.S. Senate. $3.2 million spent.
LOST. Michigan Governor. $2 million spent.
WON. Maryland Governor. $1.7 million spent.
LOST. Colorado Governor. $1.5 million spent
WON. Pennsylvania Governor $1.2 million spent.
WON. Michigan 3rd District, U.S. House. $425,000 spent.
LOST. Virginia 2nd District, U.S. House. $300,000 spent.
LOST. California 22nd District, U.S. House. $200,000 spent.
LOST. Colorado 8th District, U.S. House. $250,000 spent.
WON. New Hampshire 2nd District, U.S. House. $100,000 spent.
Total $53,275,000.
I don’t want to overstate the significance of this. Democrat money wasn’t necessarily the deciding factor in any of these races.
And Trump endorsed nearly 200 candidates in all. BBC News reported 92 percent of them won.
What the contributions reflect is that Democrats think that focusing on Trump is a winning victory strategy.
Of course this strategy could backfire. The Clinton campaign in 2016 tried to “elevate” Trump, figuring that he would be easiest to defeat in the general election. It didn’t work out the way they thought it would.