The astute John Michael Greer, whose Archdruid Report is one of my favorite blogs, predicted that the most important trends in 2015 will be the disaffection of America’s police combined with continuing civil unrest.
He said the morale of American police is at the same state as that of the American forces in Vietnam in the 1970s. Police feel they’ve been sent into a war they can’t win, and abandoned by the civilian authority that’s nominally their superior.
I think there’s truth to that, although it’s exaggerated. Rank-and-file police officers did not invent the “broken windows” theory of policing, which is that the way to ensure civil order is to punish every violation, no matter how minor. Nor are they the ones who decided that the way to finance municipal government in places such as Ferguson, Missouri, is to collect traffic fines from poor people.
I think there is zero chance that the military or police would go over to the side of rioting black people or even peacefully protesting black people. Armed resistance is not a feasible option for African-Americans in the present-day USA.
Effective resistance to civil authority, as I see it, would come from armed and organized militias, such as the group that formed around rancher Cliven Bundy in his fight with the federal government over grazing fees. They defied federal and local police with loaded weapons, and were not met with deadly force.
I believe there is a real possibility that, as the U.S. economic plight worsens, resistance to government could grow and, as military and police morale decline, resistance to government would be tolerated until it became a real threat.
If things continue as they are in the United States, I believe there is bound to be an explosion. And, given the history of violent revolution, I do not expect anything good to come from such an explosion.
Here is John Michael Greer in his own words: