Political scientist Thomas Ferguson has spent his career tracing the influence of money on U.S. national politics. In this interview from last week, he said the big story of the 2016 election is that it is politically possible to defeat big money.
Bernie Sanders raised 60 percent of his funds from small donors, who gave $200 each or less, Ferguson said. This is unprecedented. He said Sanders could well have won the Democratic nomination and the general election if he had started earlier and done things differently.
But even in defeat, he said, Sanders showed it is possible to fund a national political campaign without going to the wealthy and corporate donors that the leaders of both political parties depend upon.
Ferguson is noted for his “investment theory of political parties”—that wealthy interests invest in political parties and candidates, and that the only political issues that elections decide are issues on which the big donors disagree or that they don’t care about.
He says there are basically two elections. There is the informal money election, conducted by big donors, which winnows the field Then there is the actual vote, which chooses among the candidates pre-selected by the money election.
What Sanders—and also Trump, to an extent—showed is that large numbers of small political “investors” can offset the few big donors. Sanders was the equivalent of an entrepreneur who funded a start-up with a GoFundMe fundraiser.
Trump himself raised 40 percent of his campaign funds from small donors, which is unprecedented for a Republican, Ferguson said. But most of that was before he won the Republican nomination.
Starting in August, big money started to roll in—especially from Rustbelt manufacturing interests, who liked Trump’s promise to raise tariffs against foreign imports, and also from such far-right figures as Sheldon Adelson, Peter Thiel and Robert and Rebekah Mercer.
Hillary Clinton received most of the donations that came from Wall Street and the defense and aerospace industries.