[Update 11/18/2023]. Big 3 autoworkers vote to approve contract with historic raises.
[Update 11/14/2023]. Evidently some auto workers aren’t willing to wait until 2028. I’ve added some addition material at the end.]
The United Auto Workers has called on organized labor to prepare for a general strike on May 1, 2028.
That’s the date that the new auto industry contracts expire. If other major unions could set their contracts to expire the same date, U.S. organized labor would be in a uniquely powerful position.
Wage-earners have been losing ground for decades. The national government ignores their concerns, whether Democrats or Republicans are in power. Things are unlikely to change, whether Joe Biden, Donald Trump or someone else wins next year’s elections.
So the only path to change is through some sort of direct action. Hamilton Nolan, a labor writer, says that a general strike could be the way to do it.
The general feeling of a labor power resurgence since the pandemic has been fueled by a procession of high profile wins: The Starbucks and Amazon union drives, the massive organizing on college campuses, the friendly Biden administration and its uniquely pro-union NLRB, the historically high favorability of unions in public opinion polls, the periodic mini-strike waves at a variety of fed-up workplaces. This year, we have seen a trio of actions—the Teamsters backing down UPS with a credible strike threat, and the successful WGA and UAW strikes—that show what can be won with the power of strikes at a larger scale.
All of this is encouraging. All of this is evidence of a real shift in public sentiment. All of this, however, does not add up to a robust and lasting change in the balance of power between capital and labor. Right now, what we have are a bunch of discrete occurrences, a bunch of data points that amount to proof of potential.
There are two things that will determine whether or not this promising moment leads to a true, historic revival of the labor movement. The first is easily measurable: union density. Barely 1 in 10 American workers is a union member today. Despite all of the wins just mentioned, that number has not risen in the wake of the pandemic. The primary thing that unions need to do today is to organize more union members. Without this, organized labor is a walled and shrinking garden, rather than a legitimately expansive force for society-wide change.
The second thing is related to the first, but it offers a broader menu for action: We must see some tangible coordination of action across the U.S. labor movement. It is great when one union wins a contract, or organizes an important new company, but those isolated events will not be enough to take on the combined power of trillion-dollar multinational corporations and their political allies. Not even when they involve tens or hundreds of thousands of workers.