Posts Tagged ‘Moderate Republicans’

Can Donald Trump win the conservative vote?

May 9, 2016

The following is by Josh Barro for Business Insider.

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

Trump is the candidate who finally figured out how to exploit the fact that much of the Republican voter base does not share the policy preferences of the Republican donor class, and that it is therefore possible to win the nomination without being saddled with their unpopular policy preferences.

He will not be the last candidate to understand this.

Future candidates will seek to rebuild Trump’s coalition, and they will follow in his footsteps by opposing free trade, promising to protect entitlements from cuts, questioning the value of America’s commitment to military alliances, and shrugging at social changes like the growing acceptance of transgender people.

All three of the supposed “legs” of the Republican coalition stool — libertarian economics, social conservatism, and militarism — are at risk from Trump and the populist-imitator candidates he will spawn.

Source: Business Insider

I, too, oppose pro-corporate trade deals, want to preserve Social Security, question the value of military alliances and have no commitment to social conservatism.

If the Republican Party really is changing the way Barro says, this is a good thing, not a bad thing.  If I thought Donald Trump was a principled enemy of militarism and crony capitalism (what we have is not economic libertarianism), I would vote for him myself.   Knowing his record as an opportunist and con man, I never would.

The temptation for Democrats is to run as moderate conservatives rather than progressives.  That would split the Democratic Party—or, I should say, widen the split in the Democratic Party—as the Republican Party is being split now.

LINKS

Donald Trump & Hillary Clinton: Equally Terrible for Conservatives by David French for National Review.

Donald Trump and the GOP’s Crisis by Josh Barro for Business Insider.

What Will Republicans Do Now? by Doug Muder for The Weekly Sift.  [added later]

Which Republicans Support Trump? A Cheat Sheet by David A. Graham for The Atlantic [added later]

Hillary Clinton seeks the moderate GOP vote

May 6, 2016

GOPvotersClinton1-20-2016_04

[I updated and expanded this about three hours after I originally posted it.]

Hillary Clinton is already trying to pry the moderate Republican vote away from Donald Trump.  As the chart above shows, she has a long way to go.

As a defender of the status quo, I think she will be the choice of big-money donors who give to both parties, but aren’t loyal to either one.  Beyond that, I can’t predict how successful she will be in creating a bipartisan coalition of the status quo.

The significance of her attempt to appeal to Republican moderates is on how she will campaign and how she will govern, if elected.  If she is to have any chance at all in appealing to moderate conservatives, she will have to distance herself from Bernie Sanders and progressive Democrats.

LINKS

Hillary Clinton is already wooing anti-Trump Republicans.  It’s a huge mistake by Ryan Cooper for The Week.

The Upcoming Battle for Upscale Whites by Noah Millman for The American Conservative.

Hillary Forces Target Bush Donors by Ben White for POLITICO.

Donald Trump Isn’t Rich Enough to Defeat Hillary Clinton by Paul Waldman for The Week.

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