Can Donald Trump win the conservative vote?

The following is by Josh Barro for Business Insider.

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

Trump is the candidate who finally figured out how to exploit the fact that much of the Republican voter base does not share the policy preferences of the Republican donor class, and that it is therefore possible to win the nomination without being saddled with their unpopular policy preferences.

He will not be the last candidate to understand this.

Future candidates will seek to rebuild Trump’s coalition, and they will follow in his footsteps by opposing free trade, promising to protect entitlements from cuts, questioning the value of America’s commitment to military alliances, and shrugging at social changes like the growing acceptance of transgender people.

All three of the supposed “legs” of the Republican coalition stool — libertarian economics, social conservatism, and militarism — are at risk from Trump and the populist-imitator candidates he will spawn.

Source: Business Insider

I, too, oppose pro-corporate trade deals, want to preserve Social Security, question the value of military alliances and have no commitment to social conservatism.

If the Republican Party really is changing the way Barro says, this is a good thing, not a bad thing.  If I thought Donald Trump was a principled enemy of militarism and crony capitalism (what we have is not economic libertarianism), I would vote for him myself.   Knowing his record as an opportunist and con man, I never would.

The temptation for Democrats is to run as moderate conservatives rather than progressives.  That would split the Democratic Party—or, I should say, widen the split in the Democratic Party—as the Republican Party is being split now.


Donald Trump & Hillary Clinton: Equally Terrible for Conservatives by David French for National Review.

Donald Trump and the GOP’s Crisis by Josh Barro for Business Insider.

What Will Republicans Do Now? by Doug Muder for The Weekly Sift.  [added later]

Which Republicans Support Trump? A Cheat Sheet by David A. Graham for The Atlantic [added later]

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5 Responses to “Can Donald Trump win the conservative vote?”

  1. Lisa the Infidel Says:

    Is there an article or are you asking the question?

    I say HE HAS IT!!!


    • philebersole Says:

      I’m asking the question, it is not rhetorical, and the two linked articles explain why.

      Trump lacks the support of many of the established leaders of the Republican Party, including the Bush family, Mitt Romney, John McCain and House Speaker Paul Ryan, bloggers such as Erick Erickson, and the editors of conservative publications such as National Review.

      Republicans I happen to know have grave reservations about Trump.

      Trump himself meanwhile appeals to many independents and marginal Democrats. We could well see an election in which Trump is the populist candidate and Clinton is the elite candidate.

      Liked by 1 person

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